Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election

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This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election. The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

According to NPR's analysis, the states considered to be not strongly leaning in either direction are Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin.^[1]

Elections analysts and political pundits issue probabilistic forecasts to give readers a sense of how probable various electoral outcomes are. These forecasts use a variety of factors to determine the likelihood of each candidate winning each state. Most election predictors use the following ratings:

• "tossup": no advantage
• "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
• "lean" or "leans": slight advantage
• "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
• "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory

Below is a list of states considered by one or more forecast to be competitive; states that are deemed to be "safe" or "solid" by all forecasters are omitted for brevity.

State	EVs	PVI[2]	2020 result	2020 margin[3]	IE August 29, 2024[4]	Cook August 27, 2024[5]	CNalysis September 23, 2024[6]	Sabato September 25, 2024[7]	CNN October 3, 2024[8]	RCP September 27, 2024[9]	DDHQ October 4, 2024[10]	538 October 4, 2024[11]	Economist October 2, 2024[12]
Alaska	3	R+8	52.8% R	10.06%	Solid R	Solid R	Very Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R
Arizona	11	R+2	49.4% D	0.31%	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Colorado	10	D+4	55.4% D	13.50%	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
Florida	30	R+3	51.2% R	3.36%	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R
Georgia	16	R+3	49.5% D	0.24%	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Illinois	19	D+7	57.5% D	16.99%	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Solid D	Likely D	Safe D	Solid D	Likely D
Iowa	6	R+6	53.1% R	8.20%	Likely R	Solid R	Very Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R
Kansas	6	R+10	56.4% R	14.63%	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Likely R	Safe R	Solid R	Solid R
Maine[a]	2	D+2	53.1% D	9.07%	Likely D	Likely D	Very Likely D	Likely D	Solid D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
ME–01[a]	1	D+9	60.1% D	23.09%	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Safe D	Solid D	Likely D	Safe D	Solid D	Solid D
ME–02[a]	1	R+6	52.3% R	7.44%	Lean R	Likely R	Very Likely R	Likely R	Lean R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Michigan	15	R+1	50.6% D	2.78%	Tossup	Tossup	Tilt D	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Minnesota	10	D+1	52.4% D	7.11%	Lean D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Tossup	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D
Missouri	10	R+10	56.8% R	15.39%	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Solid R
Montana	4	R+11	56.9% R	16.37%	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Solid R
NE–02[a]	1	EVEN	52.0% D[b]	6.50%	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Lean D	Tossup	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
Nevada	6	R+1	50.1% D	2.39%	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
New Hampshire	4	D+1	52.7% D	7.35%	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Lean D
New Jersey	14	D+6	57.3% D	15.94%	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Likely D	Safe D	Likely D	Likely D
New Mexico	5	D+3	54.3% D	10.79%	Solid D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
North Carolina	16	R+3	49.9% R	1.35%	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Ohio	17	R+6	53.3% R	8.03%	Likely R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Oregon	8	D+6	56.4% D	16.08%	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Solid D	Lean D	Likely D	Safe D	Likely D	Likely D
Pennsylvania	19	R+2	50.0% D	1.16%	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
South Carolina	9	R+8	55.1% R	11.68%	Solid R	Solid R	Solid R	Safe R	Solid R	Likely R	Safe R	Likely R	Likely R
Texas	40	R+5	52.1% R	5.58%	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R	Solid R	Lean R	Likely R	Likely R	Likely R
Virginia	13	D+3	54.1% D	10.11%	Likely D	Likely D	Solid D	Likely D	Lean D	Lean D	Likely D	Likely D	Likely D
Wisconsin	10	R+2	49.5% D	0.63%	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup	Tossup
Overall					D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 241 R – 219 78 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 215 R – 219 104 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups	D – 226 R – 219 93 tossups

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R)[13][A]	August 30 – September 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	43%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Alaska Survey Research[14]	September 27–29, 2024	1,182 (LV)	± 2.9%	52%	43%	6%	–
Alaska Survey Research[15]	September 11–12, 2024	1,254 (LV)	–	47%	42%	5%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [d]	Margin
270ToWin	September 26 – October 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	47.9%	49.1%	3.0%	Trump +1.2%
RacetotheWH	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.2%	48.9%	2.9%	Trump +0.7%
The Hill/DDHQ	through September 30, 2024	October 1, 2024	48.0%	49.2%	2.8%	Trump +1.2%
Silver Bulletin	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	47.5%	48.7%	3.8%	Trump +1.2%
538	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	46.9%	48.1%	5.0%	Trump +1.1%
Average			47.7%	48.8%	3.5%	Trump +1.1%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R)[16]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	1%[e]
HighGround[17][B]	September 26–29, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	46%	6%
Emerson College[18][C]	September 27–28, 2024	920 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%	50%	3%[f]
				48%[g]	52%	–
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	946 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[20]	September 19–25, 2024	409 (LV)	–	50%	48%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	977 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	3%
		926 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Fox News[22]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
		764 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	51%	1%
Marist College[23]	September 19−24, 2024	1,416 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	50%	2%[h]
		1,264 (LV)	± 3.8%	49%	50%	1%[h]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[24][D]	September 19–22, 2024	1,030 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%[i]
New York Times/Siena College[25]	September 17–21, 2024	713 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	49%	6%
		713 (LV)		45%	50%	5%
Emerson College[26]	September 15–18, 2024	868 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	49%	3%[j]
				49%[g]	50%	1%[j]
Morning Consult[27]	September 9−18, 2024	862 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[28]	September 11–12, 2024	1,088 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	47%	7%[k]
Data Orbital[29][E]	September 7–9, 2024	550 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	46%	8%
Morning Consult[27]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	901 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
TIPP Insights[30][F]	September 3–5, 2024	1,015 (RV)	± 3.2%	46%	46%	8%
		949 (LV)		47%	47%	6%
Patriot Polling[31]	September 1–3, 2024	804 (RV)	–	47%	49%	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[32]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Emerson College[33]	August 25–28, 2024	720 (LV)	± 3.6%	47%	50%	7%
				48%[g]	51%	1%[f]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34]	August 23–26, 2024	776 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
		758 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Fox News[35]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	49%	1%
Spry Strategies (R)[36][G]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[37][H]	August 13–17, 2024	1,187 (LV)	± 3.0%	45%	47%	8%
Noble Predictive Insights[38]	August 12–16, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	47%	9%
Focaldata[39]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	51%	–
Strategies 360[40]	August 7–14, 2024	400 (RV)	± 4.9%	47%	46%	7%
New York Times/Siena College[41]	August 8–15, 2024	677 (RV)	± 4.4%	49%	45%	7%
		677 (LV)		50%	45%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[42]	August 6–8, 2024	1,092 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	48%	5%
Navigator Research (D)[43]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	49%	5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[44]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	435 (LV)	–	48%	46%	6%
HighGround[45]	July 30 – August 5, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	44%	42%	14%[l]
Public Policy Polling (D)[46][I]	July 29–30, 2024	618 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	49%	4%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[47][J]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	43%	48%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[48]	July 24–28, 2024	804 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
Emerson College[49]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	44%	49%	7%
				47%[g]	53%	–
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[50]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	42%	48%	10%
Public Policy Polling (D)[51][I]	July 10–11, 2024	596 (RV)	–	44%	52%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[52]	May 7–13, 2024	795 (RV)	± 3.0%	42%	51%	7%
Emerson College[53]	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	48%	12%
New York Times/Siena College[54]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.4%	43%	48%	9%
		603 (LV)		43%	48%	9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [m]	Margin
Race to the WH	through September 25, 2024	October 3, 2024	46.4%	48.3%	0.7%	—	1.3%	3.3%	Trump +1.9%
270toWin	September 26 – October 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	47.4%	48.2%	1.0%	0.0%	1.7%	1.7%	Trump +0.8%
Average			46.9%	48.3%	0.9%	0.0%	1.5%	2.4%	Trump +1.4%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	946 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	–	0%	–	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[20]	September 19–25, 2024	409 (LV)	–	50%	47%	–	1%	–	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	977 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	–	1%	2%	2%
		926 (LV)		49%	46%	–	1%	2%	2%
Fox News[22]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	1%	1%	2%	−
		764 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	50%	0%	1%	2%	−
Suffolk University/USA Today[55]	September 19−24, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	42%	48%	–	1%	1%	8%
New York Times/Siena College[25]	September 17–21, 2024	713 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	47%	–	2%	3%	6%
		713 (LV)		43%	48%	–	2%	2%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[56]	September 16–19, 2024	789 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[57]	September 6–9, 2024	765 (LV)	–	46%	47%	–	1%	1%	5%
TIPP Insights[30][F]	September 3–5, 2024	1,015 (RV)	± 3.2%	46%	46%	1%	1%	–	6%
		949 (LV)		48%	48%	1%	1%	–	2%
YouGov[58][K]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	900 (RV)	± 4.2%	45%	47%	1%	1%	–	6%[i]
CNN/SSRS[59]	August 23–29, 2024	682 (LV)	± 4.7%	44%	49%	–	2%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[60]	August 25–28, 2024	530 (LV)	–	45%	46%	–	1%	1%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34]	August 23–26, 2024	776 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	0%	2%	2%
		758 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	–	0%	2%	2%
Fox News[35]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	1%	1%	2%	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[61]	August 22 – September 21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	64%	36%	–
Emerson College[62]	September 3–5, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	60%	36%	4%
				61%[g]	38%	1%[n]
ActiVote[63]	August 2–19, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	65%	35%	–
UC Berkeley IGS[64]	July 31 – August 11, 2024	3,765 (LV)	± 2.0%	59%	34%	7%
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
Emerson College/Inside California Elections[65][L]	November 11–14, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	38%	15%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Morning Consult[27]	September 9−18, 2024	512 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	42%	5%
Morning Consult[27]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	498 (LV)	± 4.0%	55%	40%	5%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [o]	Margin
538	Through September 18, 2024	September 18, 2024	45.4%	49.4%	5.2%	Trump +4.0
270ToWin	Through September 17, 2024	September 17, 2024	45.0%	49.2%	5.8%	Trump +4.2
RacetotheWH	Through September 17, 2024	September 17, 2024	47.0%	50.3%	2.7%	Trump +3.3
Silver Bulletin	Through September 17, 2024	September 17, 2024	45.6%	49.8%	4.6%	Trump +4.2
The Hill/DDHQ	through September 5, 2024	September 16, 2024	49.1%	52.4%	1.5%	Trump +3.3
Average			46.4%	50.2%	3.4%	Trump +3.8

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
RMG Research[71][N]	September 25–27, 2024	774 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	47%	3%[p]
				50%[g]	48%	2%
Public Policy Polling (D)[72][O]	September 25–26, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	46%	4%
Victory Insights[73]	September 22–25, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.4%	47%	45%	8%
The Bullfinch Group[74][P]	September 20–23, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	47%	5%
Morning Consult[27]	September 9−18, 2024	2,948 (LV)	± 2.0%	50%	47%	3%
Morning Consult[27]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	3,182 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	47%	4%
Emerson College[75]	September 3–5, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	45%	5%
				51%[g]	48%	1%[q]
ActiVote[76]	August 16–31, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	47%	–
Cherry Communications (R)[77][Q]	August 15–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	45%	3%
Public Policy Polling (D)[78][O]	August 21–22, 2024	837 (RV)	± 3.4%	51%	47%	2%
ActiVote[79]	August 5–15, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	46%	–
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[80]	August 10–11, 2024	1,055 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%[r]
		1,040 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	47%	3%[s]
University of North Florida[81]	July 24–27, 2024	774 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	42%	9%[t]
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
InsiderAdvantage (R)[82][u]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	39%	12%[v]
Suffolk University/USA Today[83]	September 15–18, 2022	500 (LV)	–	46%	44%	10%
Victory Insights[84]	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	51%	–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[72][O]	September 25–26, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	45%	0%	1%	–	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[85]	September 16–19, 2024	1,602 (LV)	–	50%	45%	–	0%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[86]	September 6–9, 2024	1,465 (LV)	–	50%	44%	–	0%	0%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [w]	Margin
270ToWin	September 25 – October 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.4%	49.4%	2.2%	Trump +1.0%
RacetotheWH	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.1%	48.8%	3.1%	Trump +0.7%
The Hill/DDHQ	through September 30, 2024	October 1, 2024	47.6%	48.3%	4.1%	Trump +0.7%
Silver Bulletin	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	47.8%	48.8%	3.4%	Trump +1.0%
538	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	47.2%	48.3%	4.5%	Trump +1.2%
Average			47.8%	48.7%	3.5%	Trump +0.9%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R)[87]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	48%	4%[e]
Quinnipiac University[88]	September 25–29, 2024	942 (LV)	± 3.2%	45%	50%	5%
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	1,200 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[20]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	47%	49%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	989 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
		913 (LV)		49%	49%	2%
Fox News[22]	September 20−24, 2024	1,006 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	48%	1%
		707 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	48%	1%
CBS News/YouGov[89]	September 20–24, 2024	1,441 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	51%	–
Marist College[90]	September 19−24, 2024	1,420 (RV)	± 3.6%	49%	48%	3%[h]
		1,220 (LV)	± 3.9%	49%	50%	1%[h]
The Bullfinch Group[91][P]	September 20–23, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[92][D]	September 19–22, 2024	1,152 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
				47%[g]	51%	2%
New York Times/Siena College[25]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.6%	44%	48%	8%
		682 (LV)		45%	49%	6%
Emerson College[93]	September 15–18, 2024	975 (LV)	± 3.1%	47%	50%	3%[j]
				48%[g]	50%	2%[j]
TIPP Insights[94][F]	September 16–18, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	45%	7%
		835 (LV)		48%	48%	9%
Morning Consult[27]	September 9−18, 2024	1,347 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[95]	September 11–13, 2024	1,098 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	46%	9%
ActiVote[96]	August 8 – September 10, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
Quinnipiac University[97]	September 4–8, 2024	969 (LV)	± 3.2%	46%	49%	5%
Morning Consult[27]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,405 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[98]	September 5–6, 2024	647 (RV)	± 3.9%	44%	47%	9%[x]
		567 (LV)		45%	47%	8%[y]
Patriot Polling[99]	September 1–3, 2024	814 (RV)	–	48%	49%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[100]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	48%	4%[y]
Emerson College[101]	August 25–28, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	49%	48%	3%[f]
				50%[g]	49%	1%[f]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34]	August 23–26, 2024	737 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%
		801 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
Fox News[35]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%
Spry Strategies (R)[36][G]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
Focaldata[102]	August 6–16, 2024	651 (LV)	± 3.8%	48%	52%	–
New York Times/Siena College[103]	August 9–14, 2024	661 (RV)	± 4.4%	44%	51%	5%
		661 (LV)		46%	50%	4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[44]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	405 (LV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[104][R]	July 24–31, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)/InsiderAdvantage (R)[105]	July 29–30, 2024	– (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	49%	4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[106][I]	July 29–30, 2024	662 (RV)	± 3.8%	48%	47%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[107]	July 24–28, 2024	799 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	47%	5%
SoCal Strategies (R)[108][S]	July 25–26, 2024	505 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	50%	4%
Emerson College[109]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	46%	48%	6%
				49%[g]	51%	–
Landmark Communications[110]	July 22, 2024	400 (LV)	± 5.0%	47%	48%	5%
	July 21, 2024	Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[111][T]	July 9–18, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	46%	51%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[112][z]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.1%	37%	47%	16%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[113]	July 12–15, 2024	640 (RV)	± 3.6%	42%	46%	12%
		549 (LV)		43%	49%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[114]	May 7–13, 2024	795 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	49%	10%
Emerson College[115]	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	41%	51%	8%
New York Times/Siena College[116]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	629 (RV)	± 4.5%	44%	45%	11%
		629 (LV)		44%	47%	9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [m]	Margin
Race to the WH[117]	through September 29, 2024	October 3, 2024	47.0%	48.1%	0.5%	—	1.1%	3.3%	Trump +1.2%
270ToWin[118]	September 26 – October 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	47.6%	48.6%	0.3%	0.7%	1.0%	1.8%	Trump +1.0%
Average			47.3%	48.4%	0.4%	0.7%	1.1	2.1%	Trump +1.1%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Quinnipiac University[88]	September 25–29, 2024	942 (LV)	± 3.2%	44%	50%	1%	0%	1%	4%[aa]
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	1,200 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	0%	–	0%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[20]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	0%	–	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	989 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	–	0%	3%	2%
		913 (LV)		48%	48%	–	0%	2%	2%
Fox News[22]	September 20−24, 2024	1,006 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	1%	1%	1%	1%
		707 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	48%	1%	1%	1%	−
New York Times/Siena College[25]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.6%	43%	46%	–	2%	2%	7%
		682 (LV)		44%	47%	–	1%	2%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[119]	September 16–19, 2024	1,043 (LV)	–	46%	48%	–	1%	1%	4%
TIPP Insights[94][F]	September 16–18, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.5%	46%	44%	2%	1%	–	7%
		835 (LV)		48%	48%	1%	1%	–	2%
University of Georgia School of Public and International Affairs[120][T]	September 9–15, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.1%	44%	47%	1%	0%	0%	7%[ab]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[121]	September 6–9, 2024	562 (LV)	–	47%	49%	–	1%	0%	3%
Quinnipiac University[97]	September 4–8, 2024	969 (LV)	± 3.2%	45%	49%	1%	0%	0%	6%[aa]
YouGov[122][K]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.8%	45%	47%	0%	0%	–	8%[e]
CNN/SSRS[123]	August 23–29, 2024	617 (LV)	± 4.7%	48%	47%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[124]	August 25–28, 2024	699 (LV)	–	42%	44%	–	1%	0%	13%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34]	August 23–26, 2024	737 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	–	1%	3%	2%
		801 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	46%	–	1%	4%	2%
Fox News[35]	August 23–26, 2024	1,014 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	1%	2%	2%	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[125]	August 6–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[ac]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[128]	August 28 – September 30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	57%	43%	–
ARW Strategies[129][U]	September 23–25, 2024	600 (LV)	–	55%	39%	6%
Emerson College[130]	September 12–13, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	57%	40%	3%[f]
				58%[g]	41%	1%[f]
Lake Research Partners (D)[131][V]	August 26 – September 2, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	42%	6%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Cygnal (R)[132][W]	September 27–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	45%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Selzer & Co.[133][X]	September 8–11, 2024	656 (LV)	± 3.8%	47%	43%	6%	1%	3%[ad]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire[134]	August 15–19, 2024	951 (LV)	± 3.2%	58%	41%	1%
University of New Hampshire[135]	July 23–25, 2024	1,445 (LV)	± 2.6%	54%	45%	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research[136]	September 5–15, 2024	812 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	41%	1%	1%	1%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research[136]	September 5–15, 2024	414 (LV)	–	58%	32%	10%
University of New Hampshire[134]	August 15–19, 2024	476 (LV)	–	64%	36%	–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Pan Atlantic Research[136]	September 5–15, 2024	398 (LV)	–	49%	42%	9%
University of New Hampshire[134]	August 15–19, 2024	432 (LV)	–	47%	52%	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[ac]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Braun Research[Y]	September 19–23, 2024	1,012 (LV)	± 3.5%	64%	32%	5%[ae]
		1,012 (RV)	± 3.5%	62%	32%	6%[af]
Morning Consult	September 9–18, 2024	516 (LV)	± 4.0%	61%	33%	6%
Public Policy Polling (D)	September 16–17, 2024	543 (RV)	± 4.2%	64%	33%	3%
Emerson College	September 12–13, 2024	890 (LV)	± 3.2%	65%	33%	2%
				63%	32%	5%
Morning Consult	August 30–September 8, 2024	516 (LV)	± 4.0%	62%	34%	4%
Gonzales Research	August 24–30, 2024	820 (RV)	± 3.5%	56%	35%	10%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[Z]	August 14–20, 2024	700 (LV)	± 4.0%	64%	32%	4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[ac]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Jill Stein Green	Undecided
Braun Research[Y]	September 19–23, 2024	1,012 (LV)	± 3.5%	63%	31%	–	1%	1%	5%[ag]
		1,012 (RV)	± 3.5%	61%	31%	–	1%	1%	6%[ah]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[Z]	August 14–20, 2024	700 (LV)	± 4.0%	59%	29%	5%	1%	1%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [ai]	Margin
270ToWin	September 26 – October 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.4%	47.1%	4.5%	Harris +1.3%
RacetotheWH	through September 27, 2024	October 2, 2024	49.3%	47.6%	3.1%	Harris +1.8%
The Hill/DDHQ	through September 30, 2024	October 1, 2024	48.4%	47.9%	3.7%	Harris +0.5%
Silver Bulletin	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.8%	46.7%	4.5%	Harris +2.1%
538	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.1%	46.2%	5.7%	Harris +1.9%
Average			48.6%	47.1%	4.3%	Harris +1.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Mitchell Research[137][AA]	September 30, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[138]	September 28–30, 2024	1,086 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	47%	9%[aj]
RMG Research[139][N]	September 24–27, 2024	789 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	46%	4%[j]
				50%[g]	47%	3%
New York Times/Siena College[140]	September 21–26, 2024	688 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	47%	8%
		688 (LV)		48%	47%	5%
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	918 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[20]	September 19–25, 2024	416 (LV)	–	51%	48%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	894 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	4%
		800 (LV)		50%	47%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[141][D]	September 19−22, 2024	1,086 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
Emerson College[142]	September 15–18, 2024	875 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	47%	4%[f]
				50%[g]	49%	1%[f]
Morning Consult[27]	September 9−18, 2024	1,297 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	44%	4%
Marist College[143]	September 12−17, 2024	1,282 (RV)	± 3.2%	50%	47%	3%[ak]
		1,138 (LV)	± 3.4%	52%	47%	1%[ak]
Quinnipiac University[144]	September 12–16, 2024	905 (LV)	± 3.3%	51%	46%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[145]	September 11–12, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	49%	3%[e]
Mitchell Research[146][AA]	September 11, 2024	580 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Morning Consult[27]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,368 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
co/efficient (R)[147]	September 4–6, 2024	931 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	47%	6%
CBS News/YouGov[148]	September 3–6, 2024	1,077 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	49%	1%
Patriot Polling[149]	September 1–3, 2024	822 (RV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Cygnal (R)[150]	August 28 – September 1, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	7%
Trafalgar Group (R)[151]	August 28–30, 2024	1,089 (LV)	± 2.9%	47%	47%	6%
Emerson College[152]	August 25–28, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	50%	47%	3%[al]
				51%[g]	48%	1%[am]
ActiVote[153]	July 28 – August 28, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
EPIC-MRA[154]	August 23–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	47%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34]	August 23–26, 2024	651 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
		702 (RV)		49%	46%	5%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov[155][AB]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.0%	44%	44%	12%[an]
		– (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	48%	5%
TIPP Insights[156][F]	August 20–22, 2024	741 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	46%	6%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Fabrizio Ward (R)[157][ao]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	48%	6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[158][H]	August 13–19, 2024	1,093 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
Focaldata[102]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	53%	47%	–
The Bullfinch Group[159][P]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	48%	43%	9%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[160][R]	August 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[161]	August 6–8, 2024	800 (LV)	–	49%	47%	4%
New York Times/Siena College[162]	August 5–8, 2024	619 (RV)	± 4.8%	45%	48%	7%
		619 (LV)		50%	46%	5%
Navigator Research (D)[43]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	7%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[44]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	406 (LV)	–	49%	46%	6%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[163][J]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	45%	10%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[164]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	53%	42%	4%
SoCal Strategies (R)[165][AC]	July 25–26, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	49%	5%
Fox News[166]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
Emerson College[167]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	45%	46%	9%
				49%[g]	51%	–
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy.
	July 19, 2024	Republican National Convention concludes
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)[168][I]	July 11–12, 2024	568 (RV)	–	46%	48%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[169]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	47%	9%
New York Times/Siena College[170]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	616 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	47%	8%
		616 (LV)		48%	46%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[140]	September 21–26, 2024	688 (RV)	± 4.0%	43%	46%	–	2%	2%	7%
		688 (LV)		46%	46%	–	2%	1%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	894 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	45%	–	1%	2%	3%
		800 (LV)		50%	46%	–	1%	1%	2%
Remington Research Group (R)[171][AD]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	0%	1%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[172]	September 16–19, 2024	993 (LV)	–	46%	45%	–	0%	1%	8%
Quinnipiac University[144]	September 12–16, 2024	905 (LV)	± 3.3%	50%	45%	0%	2%	0%	3%[ap]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[173]	September 6–9, 2024	556 (LV)	–	48%	45%	–	1%	1%	5%
YouGov[174][K]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	43%	1%	1%	–	7%[e]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[175]	August 25–28, 2024	1,071 (LV)	–	47%	44%	–	1%	1%	7%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34]	August 23–26, 2024	651 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	0%	2%	2%
		702 (RV)		48%	46%	–	1%	2%	3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr.[aq] Natural Law	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [m]	Margin
Race to the WH	through September 26, 2024	October 2, 2024	47.4%	46.0%	1.4%	1.4%	0.2%	—	3.6%	Harris +1.3%
RealClearPolitics	August 26 – September 26, 2024	September 26, 2024	47.6%	45.7%	1.7%	1.4%	0.2%	0.8%	2.6%	Harris +1.9%
270toWin	September 26 – October 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.0%	46.2%	1.3%	1.4%	1.0%	1.0%	1.1%	Harris +1.8%
Average			47.7%	46.0%	1.5%	1.4%	0.5%	0.9%	2.0%	Harris +1.7%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Natural Law	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Mitchell Research[137][AA]	September 30, 2024	709 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	47%	2%	0%	1%	1%	2%[ar]
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	918 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	0%	–	2%	0%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[20]	September 19–25, 2024	416 (LV)	–	49%	46%	0%	1%	2%	–	2%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[176]	September 11–19, 2024	650 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	43%	2%	–	2%	2%	3%[as]
Suffolk University/USA Today[177]	September 16–18, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	45%	1%	0%	0%	0%	6%[ar]
Mitchell Research[146][AA]	September 11, 2024	580 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	46%	2%	0%	1%	–	4%[ar]
CNN/SSRS[178]	August 23–29, 2024	708 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	43%	4%	–	1%	1%	3%
Z to A Research (D)[179][AE]	August 23–26, 2024	518 (LV)	–	47%	47%	3%	–	1%	1%	1%
YouGov[155][AB]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.0%	44%	42%	5%	1%	0%	1%	7%[at]
		– (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	46%	4%	0%	0%	0%	3%
TIPP Insights[156][F]	August 20–22, 2024	741 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	45%	5%	1%	1%	–	2%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[158][H]	August 13–17, 2024	1,093 (LV)	–	47%	44%	4%	1%	1%	–	3%
Focaldata[102]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	51%	44%	4%	–	1%	0%	–
		702 (RV)		50%	44%	4%	–	1%	0%	1%
		702 (A)		50%	42%	5%	–	1%	0%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[180]	August 12–15, 2024	530 (LV)	–	44%	45%	5%	–	1%	0%	5%
The Bullfinch Group[159][P]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	40%	7%	1%	1%	–	5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[160][R]	August 7–11, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	43%	45%	6%	1%	1%	0%	4%
New York Times/Siena College[162]	August 5–8, 2024	619 (RV)	± 4.8%	44%	43%	5%	0%	1%	0%	6%
		619 (LV)		48%	43%	4%	0%	1%	0%	3%
Navigator Research (D)[43]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	44%	5%	1%	0%	0%	6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[44]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	406 (LV)	–	46%	44%	6%	1%	0%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[181]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	771 (LV)	–	41%	42%	5%	–	1%	0%	11%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[164]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	39%	5%	–	1%	2%	2%
Fox News[166]	July 22–24, 2024	1,012 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	45%	7%	1%	1%	0%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[182]	July 22–24, 2024	512 (LV)	–	41%	44%	7%	–	0%	0%	8%
Glengariff Group[183][AF]	July 22–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	42%	41%	10%	–	1%	1%	5%
Emerson College[167]	July 22–23, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.4%	44%	44%	5%	1%	1%	0%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr. Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Glengariff Group[184][AF]	August 26–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	44%	45%	5%	1%	5%
EPIC-MRA[154]	August 23–26, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	46%	3%	1%	5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[185][AG]	July 17–18, 2024	650 (RV)	± 3.9%	41%	46%	5%	1%	7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)[157][ao]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	44%	43%	5%	8%
Civiqs[186][AE]	July 13–16, 2024	532 (RV)	± 5.3%	46%	46%	5%	3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris DFL	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [bo]	Margin
270ToWin	August 30 – September 13, 2024	September 16, 2024	49.8%	44.0%	6.2%	Harris +5.8%
RacetotheWH	through September 13, 2024	September 16, 2024	50.3%	43.6%	6.1%	Harris +6.7%
Silver Bulletin	through September 17, 2024	September 17, 2024	50%	44%	6.0%	Harris +6.0%
538	through September 18, 2024	September 18, 2024	49.9%	43.4%	6.7%	Harris +6.5%
Average			50.0%	43.8%	6.2%	Harris +6.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris DFL	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
SurveyUSA[275][AU]	September 23–26, 2024	646 (LV)	± 4.3%	50%	44%	6%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[276][D]	September 19−22, 2024	993 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
Mason-Dixon[277][AV]	September 16−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	43%	9%[bp]
Morning Consult[27]	September 9−18, 2024	517 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	43%	7%
Embold Research/MinnPost[278]	September 4–8, 2024	1,616 (LV)	± 2.8%	49%	45%	6%[bq]
Morning Consult[27]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	501 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	44%	5%
SurveyUSA[279][AU]	August 27–29, 2024	635 (LV)	± 4.5%	48%	43%	9%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
SurveyUSA[280][AU]	July 23–25, 2024	656 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	40%	10%[br]
Fox News[281]	July 22–24, 2024	1,071 (RV)	± 3.0%	52%	46%	2%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris DFL	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[282]	September 16–19, 2024	703 (LV)	–	50%	44%	–	1%	0%	5%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[283]	September 6–9, 2024	617 (LV)	–	51%	44%	–	0%	0%	5%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Emerson College[284]	September 12–13, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	53%	43%	4%[f]
				55%[g]	43%	2%[f]
Change Resaerch (D)[285]	September 11–13, 2024	1,237 (RV)	± 3.1%	50%	41%	9%
GQR (D)[286]	September 6–12, 2024	645 (LV)	± 3.9%	55%	44%	1%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
ActiVote[287]	July 25 – August 22, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	59%	41%	–
YouGov/Saint Louis University[288]	August 8–16, 2024	900 (LV)	± 3.8%	54%	41%	5%[bs]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
RMG Research[289][N]	September 12–19, 2024	491 (LV)	± 4.4%	59%	38%	3%[bt]
Fabrizio Ward (R)/ David Binder Research (D)[290][R]	August 25–29, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	56%	41%	3%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
Rasmussen Reports (R)[291][H]	August 13–20, 2024	835 (LV)	± 3.0%	58%	35%	7%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
Emerson College[292]	August 5–6, 2024	1,000 (RV)	3.0%	55%	40%	5%
				58%[g]	43%	–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Remington Research Group (R)[293][AD]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	56%	39%	–	2%	–	3%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Rasmussen Reports (R)[291][H]	August 13–20, 2024	835 (LV)	± 3.0%	58%	31%	7%	0%	0%	0%	4%
American Pulse Research & Polling[294][AW]	August 10–12, 2024	538 (LV)	± 4.2%	52%	38%	6%	0%	0%	2%	8%
Emerson College[292]	August 5–6, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	54%	39%	5%	0%	0%	0%	2%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
RMG Research[295][N]	August 6–14, 2024	540 (RV)	± 4.2%	57%	39%	2%	2%

Statewide

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
The Bullfinch Group[296][P]	September 27 – October 1, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	42%	5%
				48%	38%	14%[bu]
SurveyUSA[297][AX]	September 20–23, 2024	558 (LV)	± 4.8%	56%	40%	5%[bv]
Global Strategy Group (D)[298][AY]	August 26–29, 2024	600 (LV)	–	54%	37%	9%
SurveyUSA[299][AV]	August 23–27, 2024	1,293 (RV)	± 3.5%	54%	37%	9%[bw]

Nebraska's 2nd congressional district

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[300]	September 24–26, 2024	680 (RV)	± 4.0%	51%	42%	7%
		680 (LV)		52%	43%	5%
SurveyUSA[299][AV]	August 23–27, 2024	507 (RV)	± 5.6%	47%	42%	11%[bx]

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[300]	September 24–26, 2024	680 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	41%	–	2%	2%	6%
		680 (LV)		51%	42%	–	2%	1%	4%
CNN/SSRS[301]	September 20–25, 2024	794 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	42%	1%	1%	1%	2%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [by]	Margin
270ToWin	September 26 – October 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	49.6%	47.4%	3.0%	Harris +2.2%
RacetotheWH	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	49.6%	47.0%	3.4%	Harris +2.6%
The Hill/DDHQ	through September 30, 2024	October 1, 2024	49.1%	47.2%	3.7%	Harris +1.9%
Silver Bulletin	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	49.0%	47.1%	3.9%	Harris +1.9%
538	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	47.9%	46.9%	5.2%	Harris +1.1%
Average			49.0%	47.1%	3.9%	Harris +1.9%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R)[302]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	1%[e]
TIPP Insights[303][F]	September 23−25, 2024	1,044 (RV)	± 3.7%	48%	44%	8%
		736 (LV)		49%	48%	3%
Quantus Insights (R)[304][AZ]	September 23−25, 2024	628 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%[bz]
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	858 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	48%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[305]	September 19–25, 2024	409 (LV)	–	48%	47%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	574 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
		516 (LV)		52%	45%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[306][D]	September 19−22, 2024	738 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
Remington Research Group (R)[307][AD]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%
Emerson College[308]	September 15–18, 2024	895 (LV)	± 3.2%	48%	48%	4%[j]
				49%[g]	49%	2%[j]
Morning Consult[27]	September 9−18, 2024	474 (LV)	± 5.0%	51%	47%	2%
Noble Predictive Insights[309]	September 9−16, 2024	812 (RV)	± 3.4%	48%	45%	7%
		692 (LV)	± 3.7%	48%	47%	5%
Trafalgar Group (R)[310]	September 11–13, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	44%	11%[ca]
Morning Consult[27]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	516 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Patriot Polling[311]	September 1–3, 2024	788 (RV)	–	47%	47%	6%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[312]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	5%[cb]
Emerson College[313]	August 25–28, 2024	1,168 (LV)	± 2.8%	49%	48%	3%[cc]
				49%[g]	49%	1%[cd]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[314]	August 23–26, 2024	416 (LV)	± 5.0%	50%	46%	4%
		450 (RV)		49%	45%	6%
Fox News[35]	August 23–26, 2024	1,026 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%[e]
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Rasmussen Reports (R)[315][H]	August 13–18, 2024	980 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	6%
Focaldata[316]	August 6–16, 2024	678 (LV)	± 3.8%	54%	46%	–
New York Times/Siena College[317]	August 12–15, 2024	677 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	48%	6%
		677 (LV)		47%	48%	5%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[318]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	403 (LV)	–	45%	48%	7%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[319][J]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	45%	46%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[320]	July 24–28, 2024	454 (RV)	± 5.0%	47%	45%	7%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 18, 2024	Republican National Convention concludes
InsiderAdvantage (R)[321]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	40%	50%	10%
	July 15, 2024	Republican National Convention begins
	July 13, 2024	attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[322]	May 7–13, 2024	459 (RV)	± 5.0%	44%	47%	9%
Emerson College[323]	February 16–19, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	39%	48%	13%
New York Times/Siena College[324]	October 22–November 3, 2023	611 (RV)	± 4.4%	42%	48%	10%
		611 (LV)		42%	50%	8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [m]	Margin
Race to the WH	through September 25, 2024	October 3, 2024	48.9%	47.1%	—	—	1.2%	2.8%	Harris +1.8%
270toWin	September 24 – October 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	49.0%	46.8%	0.6%	0.0%	1.5%	2.1%	Harris +2.2%
Average			49.0%	47.0%	0.6%	0.0%	1.4%	2.0%	Harris +2.0%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
TIPP Insights[303][F]	September 23−25, 2024	1,044 (RV)	± 3.7%	48%	43%	1%	0%	−	9%
		736 (LV)		50%	49%	0%	0%	−	1%
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	858 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	48%	–	1%	–	–
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	574 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	44%	–	3%	4%	3%
		516 (LV)		50%	44%	–	2%	2%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[325]	September 16–19, 2024	652 (LV)	–	45%	45%	–	0%	1%	9%
Noble Predictive Insights[309]	September 9−16, 2024	812 (RV)	± 3.4%	46%	43%	–	0%	1%	10%[ce]
		692 (LV)	± 3.7%	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%[cf]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[326]	September 6–9, 2024	698 (LV)	–	45%	46%	–	1%	1%	7%
YouGov[327][K]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	800 (RV)	± 4.7%	49%	46%	0%	1%	–	4%[e]
CNN/SSRS[328]	August 23–29, 2024	976 (LV)	± 4.4%	48%	47%	–	1%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[329]	August 25–28, 2024	490 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	1%	0%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[330]	August 23–26, 2024	416 (LV)	± 5.0%	48%	46%	–	2%	3%	1%
		450 (RV)		48%	45%	–	2%	4%	1%
Fox News[35]	August 23–26, 2024	1,026 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	2%	1%	1%	2%[e]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [cg]	Margin
RealClearPolitics	July 26 – September 12, 2024	September 16, 2024	51.0%	45.3%	3.7%	Harris +5.7%
270ToWin	September 8 – 13, 2024	September 16, 2024	51.5%	45.0%	3.5%	Harris +6.5%
RacetotheWH	through September 13, 2024	September 16, 2024	50.6%	43.9%	5.5%	Harris +6.7%
The Hill/DDHQ	through August 19, 2024	September 16, 2024	52.0%	47.1%	0.9%	Harris +4.9%
Silver Bulletin	through September 15, 2024	September 16, 2024	51.1%	44.5%	4.4%	Harris +6.6%
538	through September 16, 2024	September 16, 2024	50.7%	44.0%	5.3%	Harris +6.7%
Average			51.1%	45.0%	3.9%	Harris +6.1%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire[134]	August 15–19, 2024	2,048 (LV)	± 2.2%	52%	47%	1%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Emerson College[331]	July 26–28, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	46%	4%
				52%[g]	48%	–
University of New Hampshire[332]	July 23–25, 2024	2,875 (LV)	± 1.8%	53%	46%	1%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Trafalgar Group (R)[333]	December 10–12, 2021	1,041 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Saint Anselm College[334]	October 1–2, 2024	2,104 (LV)	± 2.1%	51%	44%	0%	1%	1%	3%[ch]
Saint Anselm College[335]	September 11–12, 2024	2,241 (LV)	± 2.1%	51%	43%	0%	1%	1%	4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Rasmussen Reports (R)[336][D]	September 19−22, 2024	708 (LV)	± 3.0%	50%	44%	6%
SurveyUSA[337]	September 12–18, 2024	619 (LV)	± 5.4%	50%	42%	8%
	September 10, 2024	The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
Emerson College[338]	August 20–22, 2024	956 (RV)	± 3.1%	52%	42%	6%
				54%[g]	46%	–
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[339]	September 6–9, 2024	521 (LV)	–	49%	44%	–	1%	1%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Emerson College[340]	August 20–22, 2024	956 (RV)	± 3.1%	51%	40%	3%	0%	0%	0%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[341]	August 12–15, 2024	592 (LV)	–	47%	41%	6%	–	0%	0%	6%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[342]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	493 (LV)	–	44%	37%	8%	–	0%	0%	11%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Independent	Other / Undecided
Research & Polling Inc.[343][ci]	September 6–13, 2024	532 (LV)	± 4.2%	49%	39%	3%	9%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[344]	September 4–30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	61%	39%	–
Emerson College[345][BA]	September 23–25, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	54%	40%	6%[cj]
Siena College[346]	September 11–16, 2024	1,003 (LV)	± 4.3%	55%	42%	3%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
ActiVote[347]	August 1–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	58%	42%	–
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Siena College[348]	July 28 – August 1, 2024	1,199 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	39%	8%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
SoCal Strategies (R)[349][S]	July 18–19, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	52%	41%	7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Siena College[346]	September 11–16, 2024	1,003 (LV)	± 4.3%	52%	40%	1%	2%	0%	5%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Undecided [ck]	Margin
270ToWin	September 25 – October 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	49.1%	48.6%	2.3%	Trump +0.5%
RacetotheWH	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.7%	48.4%	2.9%	Trump +0.3%
The Hill/DDHQ	through September 30, 2024	October 1, 2024	49.1%	48.4%	2.5%	Trump +0.7%
Silver Bulletin	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.4%	48.0%	3.6%	Trump +0.4%
538	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.0%	47.5%	4.5%	Trump +0.5%
Average			48.7%	48.2%	3.1%	Trump +0.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
InsiderAdvantage (R)[350]	September 29–30, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1%
Quinnipiac University[88]	September 25–29, 2024	953 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	48%	3%
Washington Post[351]	September 25–29, 2024	1,001 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	47%	3%[f]
		1,001 (LV)		50%	48%	2%[f]
High Point University[352]	September 20–29, 2024	814 (RV)	± 3.6%	46%	48%	6%[j]
		589 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	48%	4%[j]
Emerson College[353][BB]	September 27–28, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	49%	48%	3%[f]
				50%[g]	49%	1%[f]
RMG Research[354][N]	September 25–27, 2024	780 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	46%	5%[cl]
				51%[g]	47%	2%[cm]
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	1,173 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	51%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[20]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	49%	49%	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	889 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	50%	3%
		828 (LV)		48%	50%	2%
Fox News[22]	September 20−24, 2024	991 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
		787 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1%
Marist College[355]	September 19−24, 2024	1,507 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	49%	3%[h]
		1,348 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	49%	2%[h]
The Bullfinch Group[356][P]	September 20–23, 2024	600 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	49%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[357][D]	September 19−22, 2024	1,078 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%[i]
New York Times/Siena College[25]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.2%	48%	47%	5%
		682 (LV)		49%	47%	4%
Meredith College[358]	September 18−20, 2024	802 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	4%[cn]
Victory Insights (R)[359]	September 16−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
Emerson College[360]	September 15–18, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%[f]
				49%	50%[g]	1%[f]
Morning Consult[27]	September 9−18, 2024	1,314 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	49%	4%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[361][R]	September 11–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%[e]
TIPP Insights[362][F]	September 11–13, 2024	973 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	46%	5%
Elon University[363]	September 4−13, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.8%	45%	46%	9%[co]
Trafalgar Group (R)[364]	September 11–12, 2024	1,094 (LV)	± 2.9%	48%	46%	6%[i]
Quantus Insights (R)[365][AZ]	September 11–12, 2024	815 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	47%	5%[cp]
				50%	48%	2%[cq]
Quinnipiac University[97]	September 4–8, 2024	940 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	50%	3%[j]
Morning Consult[27]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,369 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%
SurveyUSA[366][BC]	September 4–7, 2024	900 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	49%	5%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[367]	September 5–6, 2024	692 (RV)	± 3.7%	47%	46%	7%[co]
		619 (LV)		48%	47%	5%[y]
Patriot Polling[368]	September 1–3, 2024	804 (RV)	–	50%	48%	2%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[369]	August 29–31, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3%[y]
ActiVote[370]	August 6–31, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	50%	50%	–
Emerson College[371]	August 25–28, 2024	775 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	48%	3%
				50%[g]	49%	1%[f]
SoCal Strategies (R)[372][BD]	August 26–27, 2024	612 (LV)	–	50%	46%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34]	August 23–26, 2024	645 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	49%	2%
		700 (RV)		47%	49%	4%
Fox News[35]	August 23–26, 2024	999 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	49%	1%[e]
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
High Point University/SurveyUSA[373]	August 19–21, 2024	1,053 (RV)	± 4.0%	45%	46%	9%
		941 (LV)		47%	47%	6%
Spry Strategies (R)[36][G]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	47%	6%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins
Focaldata[374]	August 6–16, 2024	702 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	50%	–
New York Times/Siena College[103]	August 9–14, 2024	655 (RV)	± 4.2%	46%	49%	5%
		655 (LV)		47%	49%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[375]	August 6–8, 2024	1,082 (LV)	± 2.9%	49%	45%	6%
Navigator Research (D)[43]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[44]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	403 (LV)	–	47%	48%	5%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[376]	July 24–28, 2024	706 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	6%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[377]	May 7–13, 2024	704 (RV)	± 4.0%	50%	40%	10%
Emerson College[378]	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	41%	9%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [m]	Margin
Race to the WH	through September 29, 2024	October 4, 2024	47.2%	47.9%	1.0%	0.8%	—	3.1%	Trump +0.7%
270toWin	September 25 – Octoer 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.0%	47.9%	0.6%	1.0%	0.9%	1.6%	Harris +0.1%
Average			47.6%	47.9%	0.8%	0.9%	0.9%	1.9%	Trump +0.3%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Quinnipiac University[88]	September 25–29, 2024	953 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	47%	1%	1%	0%	2%[ap]
East Carolina University[379]	September 23–26, 2024	1,005 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	0%	0%	1%	3%
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	1,173 (LV)	± 3.0%	47%	51%	1%	1%	0%	–
CNN/SSRS[380]	September 20–25, 2024	931 (LV)	± 3.9%	48%	48%	1%	0%	1%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[20]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	46%	49%	1%	2%	–	2%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	889 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	48%	–	1%	3%	2%
		828 (LV)		47%	49%	–	0%	2%	2%
Fox News[22]	September 20−24, 2024	991 (RV)	± 3.0%	47%	48%	1%	1%	1%	2%
		787 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	1%	1%	1%	1%
New York Times/Siena College[25]	September 17–21, 2024	682 (RV)	± 4.2%	46%	46%	–	0%	1%	7%
		682 (LV)		47%	45%	–	0%	1%	7%
Meredith College[381]	September 18–20, 2024	802 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	0%	1%	1%	2%[ap]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[382]	September 16–19, 2024	868 (LV)	–	48%	47%	–	0%	0%	5%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[361][R]	September 11–17, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	1%	1%	1%	3%
Cygnal (R)[383][BE]	September 15–16, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	2%	0%	1%	6%[ap]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[384]	September 6–9, 2024	495 (LV)	–	44%	45%	–	0%	0%	11%
Quinnipiac University[97]	September 4–8, 2024	940 (LV)	± 3.2%	46%	49%	0%	1%	0%	4%[f]
YouGov[385][K]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	46%	0%	1%	–	6%[e]
East Carolina University[386]	August 26–28, 2024	920 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	0%	0%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[387]	August 25–28, 2024	1,071 (LV)	–	45%	44%	–	1%	1%	9%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34]	August 23–26, 2024	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	–	1%	2%	2%
		645 (LV)		48%	48%	–	1%	2%	1%
Fox News[35]	August 23–26, 2024	999 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	2%	1%	1%	1%[e]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[388]	August 28 – September 30, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	46%	–
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[389]	September 18–27, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.6%	51%	44%	5%[cr]
New York Times/Siena College[140]	September 21–26, 2024	687 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	45%	6%
		687 (LV)		50%	44%	6%
RMG Research[390][N]	September 18−20, 2024	757 (LV)	± 3.5%	54%	43%	3%[cs]
Morning Consult[27]	September 9−18, 2024	1,488 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	43%	5%
Morning Consult[27]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,558 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	44%	4%
Emerson College[391]	September 3–5, 2024	945 (LV)	± 3.1%	53%	43%	4%
				54%[g]	45%	1%[ct]
SoCal Strategies (R)[392][BD]	August 31 – September 1, 2024	600 (LV)	–	52%	43%	5%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
ActiVote[393]	August 2–22, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	56%	44%	–
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Rasmussen Reports (R)[394][H]	August 13–17, 2024	1,267 (LV)	–	51%	44%	5%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[395][R]	July 23–28, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	42%	6%
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Ohio Northern University[396]	March 6–11, 2024	1,241 (LV)	± 3.3%	51%	38%	11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[140]	September 21–26, 2024	687 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	–	2%	2%	5%
		687 (LV)		49%	43%	–	2%	2%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
SoonerPoll[397]	August 24–31, 2024	323 (LV)	± 5.5%	56%	40%	4%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Hoffman Research[398]	July 24–26, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	49%	44%	7%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [cu]	Margin
270ToWin	September 25 – October 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.4%	47.9%	3.7%	Harris +0.5%
RacetotheWH	through September 28, 2024	October 2, 2024	49.3%	47.7%	3.1%	Harris +1.6%
The Hill/DDHQ	through September 29, 2024	October 1, 2024	49.1%	48.2%	2.7%	Harris +0.9%
Silver Bulletin	through September 29, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.8%	47.5%	3.7%	Harris +1.3%
538	through September 29, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.0%	47.2%	4.8%	Harris +0.8%
Average			48.7%	47.7%	3.6%	Harris +1.0%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
OnMessage Inc. (R)[399][BF]	September 28–29, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	47%	6%[cv]
Patriot Polling[400]	September 27–29, 2024	816 (RV)	–	49%	50%	1%
Trafalgar Group (R)[401]	September 26–29, 2024	1,090 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	48%	7%[cv]
Emerson College[402][BG]	September 27–28, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%[j]
				49%[g]	49%	2%[j]
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	1,775 (LV)	± 2.0%	48%	51%	1%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[20]	September 19–25, 2024	474 (LV)	–	50%	49%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	993 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
		924 (LV)		51%	46%	3%
ActiVote[403]	September 1–25, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	52%	48%	–
Fox News[22]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%
		775 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	49%	2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[404][R]	September 17–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	47%	3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[405][D]	September 19–22, 2024	1,202 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	48%	4%[e]
				50%[g]	49%	1%[e]
Susquehanna Polling and Research (R)[406][BH]	September 16–22, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	46%	46%	8%[e]
RMG Research[407][N]	September 18–20, 2024	783 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	47%	5%[cw]
				49%[g]	49%	3%[cx]
Muhlenberg College/Morning Call[408]	September 16–19, 2024	450 (RV)	± 6.0%	48%	48%	4%[cy]
Emerson College[409]	September 15–18, 2024	880 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	48%	5%[f]
				50%[g]	49%	1%[f]
MassINC Polling Group[410][BI]	September 12−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	47%	1%
Morning Consult[27]	September 9−18, 2024	1,756 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	47%	4%
Marist College[411]	September 12−17, 2024	1,663 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%[cz]
		1,476 (LV)	± 3.2%	49%	49%	2%[da]
Washington Post[412]	September 12−16, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	47%	5%[db]
		1,003 (LV)		48%	48%	4%[db]
Quinnipiac University[144]	September 12−16, 2024	1,331 (LV)	± 2.7%	51%	46%	2%
New York Times/Siena College/Philadelphia Inquirer[413]	September 11−16, 2024	1,082 (RV)	± 3.8%	50%	46%	4%
		1,082 (LV)		50%	46%	4%
Suffolk University/USA Today[414]	September 11−16, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	46%	5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[415]	September 14−15, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	50%	2%[e]
	September 10, 2024	The presidential debate between Harris and Trump hosted by ABC
Morning Consult[27]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	1,910 (LV)	± 2.0%	49%	46%	5%
co/efficient (R)[416]	September 4–6, 2024	889 (LV)	± 3.3%	46%	48%	6%
CBS News/YouGov[417]	September 3–6, 2024	1,078 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	50%	–
Patriot Polling[418]	September 1–3, 2024	857 (RV)	–	48%	49%	3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[419]	August 28–30, 2024	1,082 (LV)	± 2.9%	45%	47%	8%[cv]
Wick Insights[420][BJ]	August 27–29, 2024	1,607 (LV)	–	49%	49%	2%
Emerson College[421]	August 25–28, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	48%	48%	4%[f]
				49%[g]	49%	1%[f]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34]	August 23–26, 2024	803 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	47%	2%
		758 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	48%	1%
SoCal Strategies (R)[422][BD]	August 23, 2024	713 (LV)	–	47%	48%	5%
		800 (RV)		47%	47%	6%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov[155][AB]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.1%	43%	43%	14%[dc]
		– (LV)	± 6.0%	47%	47%	6%[dd]
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
ActiVote[423]	August 5–22, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	51%	49%	–
Fabrizio Ward (R)[157][BK]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	46%	47%	7%
Spry Strategies (R)[36][G]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	47%	5%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[424]	August 18–19, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	46%	47%	7%[cv]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[394][H]	August 13–17, 2024	1,312 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	47%	7%
Focaldata[374]	August 6–16, 2024	719 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	50%	–
Cygnal (R)[425]	August 14–15, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.4%	48%	47%	5%
Emerson College[426][BG]	August 13–14, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%
				49%[g]	51%	–
Quinnipiac University[427]	August 8–12, 2024	1,738 (LV)	± 2.4%	50%	47%	3%
The Bullfinch Group[159][P]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	49%	45%	6%
New York Times/Siena College[428]	August 6–9, 2024	693 (RV)	± 4.2%	49%	46%	5%
		693 (LV)		50%	46%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[429]	August 6–8, 2024	1,078 (LV)	± 2.9%	44%	46%	10%
Navigator Research (D)[43]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	48%	6%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[44]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	411 (LV)	–	49%	48%	3%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)[430][BL]	July 29 – August 1, 2024	600 (LV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Public Policy Polling (D)[431][I]	July 29–30, 2024	627 (RV)	± 3.9%	47%	48%	5%
GQR Research (D)[432]	July 26–30, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	46%	4%[de]
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[433][J]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	45%	7%
Quantus Polls and News[434]	July 27–28, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	46%	48%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[435]	July 24–28, 2024	804 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	50%	4%
The Bullfinch Group[436][BM]	July 23–25, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	47%	5%
Fox News[437]	July 22–24, 2024	1,034 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	2%
Emerson College[438]	July 22–23, 2024	850 (RV)	± 3.3%	46%	48%	6%
				49%[g]	51%	–
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
North Star Opinion Research (R)[439][BN]	July 20–23, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	47%	9%
SoCal Strategies (R)[440][S]	July 20–21, 2024	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	46%	50%	4%
	July 19, 2024	Republican National Convention concludes
InsiderAdvantage (R)[441]	July 15–16, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	40%	47%	13%
	July 15, 2024	Republican National Convention begins
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)[442][I]	July 11–12, 2024	537 (RV)	–	45%	51%	4%
New York Times/Siena College[443]	July 9–11, 2024	872 (RV)	± 3.7%	46%	48%	6%
		872 (LV)		47%	48%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[444]	May 7–13, 2024	812 (RV)	± 3.0%	43%	50%	7%
Emerson College[445]	February 14–16, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	40%	49%	11%
New York Times/Siena College[446]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	600 (RV)	± 4.6%	44%	47%	9%
		600 (LV)		44%	48%	8%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [m]	Margin
Race to the WH	through September 25, 2024	October 4, 2024	48.5%	46.7%	0.9%	—	0.7%	3.2%	Harris +1.8%
270toWin	September 26 – October 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.7%	47.3%	1.0%	0.0%	1.2%	1.8%	Harris +1.4%
Average			48.6%	47.0%	1.0%	0.0%	1.0%	2.4%	Harris +1.6%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	1,775 (LV)	± 2.0%	48%	51%	–	0%	0%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	993 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	44%	–	0%	4%	2%
		924 (LV)		51%	45%	–	0%	3%	1%
Fox News[22]	September 20−24, 2024	1,021 (RV)	± 3.0%	48%	46%	–	1%	2%	3%
		775 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	–	2%	2%	1%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[404][R]	September 17–24, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	–	1%	0%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[447]	September 16–19, 2024	1,086 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	1%	5%
University of Massachusetts Lowell/YouGov[448]	September 11–19, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	46%	–	1%	1%	4%
MassINC Polling Group[410][BI]	September 12−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	46%	−	1%	0%	3%
Quinnipiac University[144]	September 12−16, 2024	1,331 (LV)	± 2.7%	51%	45%	−	1%	0%	3%
Franklin & Marshall College[449]	September 4–15, 2024	890 (RV)	± 4.1%	49%	46%	–	1%	1%	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[450]	September 6–9, 2024	801 (LV)	–	45%	45%	–	0%	1%	9%
YouGov[451][K]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.6%	46%	45%	0%	1%	–	8%[e]
Wick Insights[420][BJ]	August 27–29, 2024	1,607 (LV)	–	47%	48%	–	1%	1%	3%
CNN/SSRS[452]	August 23–29, 2024	789 (LV)	± 4.7%	47%	47%	–	1%	1%	4%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[453]	August 25–28, 2024	1,071 (LV)	–	46%	45%	–	1%	0%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34]	August 23–26, 2024	803 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	46%	–	1%	1%	1%
		758 (RV)	± 3.0%	51%	45%	–	2%	1%	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[20]	September 19–25, 2024	474 (LV)	–	49%	47%	1%	3%
Remington Research Group (R)[454][AD]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	47%	48%	1%	4%
Washington Post[412]	September 12−16, 2024	1,003 (RV)	± 3.6%	48%	47%	1%	4%[db]
		1,003 (LV)		48%	47%	1%	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
ActiVote[455]	July 26 – August 29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	63%	37%	–

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Undecided [df]	Margin
RealClearPolitics	January 11 – September 5, 2024	September 16, 2024	50.3%	43.0%	6.7%	Trump +7.3%
270ToWin	August 22 – September 13, 2024	September 16, 2024	50.4%	44.2%	5.4%	Trump +6.2%
RacetotheWH	through September 19, 2024	September 19, 2024	50.7%	45.1%	4.2%	Trump +5.6%
Silver Bulletin	through September 19, 2024	September 19, 2024	51.1%	44.9%	4.0%	Trump +6.2%
538	through September 19, 2024	September 19, 2024	50.4%	44.2%	5.4%	Trump +6.2%
Average			50.6%	44.3%	5.1%	Trump +6.3%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
RMG Research[456][N]	September 25–27, 2024	779 (LV)	± 3.5%	51%	45%	3%[dg]
				53%[g]	46%	1%
Public Policy Polling (D)[72][O]	September 25–26, 2024	759 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	46%	3%
Emerson College[457]	September 22−24, 2024	950 (LV)	± 3.1%	51%	46%	3%[f]
				52%[g]	47%	1%[f]
ActiVote[458]	September 7−24, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54%	46%	–
Morning Consult[27]	September 9−18, 2024	2,716 (LV)	± 2.0%	50%	46%	4%
Morning Consult[27]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	2,940 (LV)	± 2.0%	52%	43%	5%
Emerson College[459]	September 3–5, 2024	845 (LV)	± 3.3%	50%	46%	4%
				51%[g]	48%	1%[dh]
YouGov[460][BO]	August 23–31, 2024	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	49%	44%	7%[di]
ActiVote[461]	August 14–31, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	54.5%	45.5%	–
Quantus Insights (R)[462]	August 29–30, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.1%	49%	42%	9%[dj]
				52%	44%	4%[dk]
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Public Policy Polling (D)[463][O]	August 21–22, 2024	725 (RV)	± 3.6%	49%	44%	6%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
ActiVote[464]	July 31 – August 13, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	53%	47%	–
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
YouGov[465][BP]	January 11–24, 2024	1,500 (RV)	± 2.5%	52%	39%	9%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[466]	May 8–17, 2023	1,000 (RV)	± 2.9%	46%	39%	15%[dl]

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)[72][O]	September 25–26, 2024	759 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	44%	0%	1%	–	6%
Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation[467]	September 13–18, 2024	1,200 (LV)	± 2.9%	50%	44%	–	1%	1%	4%
Texas Public Opinion Research/Lake Research Partners (D)[468]	August 24–29, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	43%	–	2%	2%	2%
YouGov[460][BO]	August 23–31, 2024	1,200 (RV)	± 2.8%	49%	44%	–	2%	0%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
	August 22, 2024	Democratic National Convention concludes
University of New Hampshire[134]	August 15–19, 2024	924 (LV)	± 3.2%	70%	29%	1%
	August 19, 2024	Democratic National Convention begins

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
University of New Hampshire[134]	August 15–19, 2024	924 (LV)	± 3.2%	67%	27%	3%	0%	–	0%	3%[dm]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [dp]	Margin
270ToWin	August 20 – September 11, 2024	September 16, 2024	49.8%	41.3%	8.9%	Harris +8.5%
RacetotheWH	through September 10, 2024	September 16, 2024	50.3%	43.0%	6.7%	Harris +7.3%
The Hill/DDHQ	through September 8, 2024	September 16, 2024	49.9%	43.9%	6.2%	Harris +6.0%
Silver Bulletin	through September 15, 2024	September 16, 2024	49.8%	42.2%	8.0%	Harris +7.6%
538	through September 16, 2024	September 16, 2024	49.6%	41.6%	8.8%	Harris +8.0%
Average			49.9%	42.4%	7.7%	Harris +7.5%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Emerson College[470][BQ]	September 22−24, 2024	860 (LV)	± 3.3%	52%	44%	4%[f]
				53%[g]	46%	1%[f]
Morning Consult[27]	September 9−18, 2024	899 (LV)	± 3.0%	51%	44%	5%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[471][D]	September 19−22, 2024	1,144 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	46%	5%
ActiVote[472]	August 19 – September 17, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	55%	45%	–
Research America Inc.[473][BR]	September 3−9, 2024	1,000 (A)	± 3.1%	45%	45%	10%[dq]
		756 (LV)	± 4.1%	48%	46%	6%[dr]
Washington Post/Schar School[474]	September 4–8, 2024	1,005 (RV)	± 3.5%	51%	43%	6%[db]
		1,005 (LV)		51%	43%	6%[db]
Morning Consult[27]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	873 (LV)	± 3.0%	52%	42%	6%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
Quantus Insights (R)[475][AZ]	August 20–22, 2024	629 (RV)	± 4.0%	47%	44%	9%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
Roanoke College[476]	August 12–16, 2024	691 (LV)	± 4.5%	47%	44%	10%[ds]
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his official withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
Emerson College[477]	July 14–15, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	45%	47%	8%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[478]	July 14–15, 2024	301 (RV)	–	43%	44%	13%[dt]
		265 (LV)		43%	47%	10%[du]
	July 13, 2024	attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[479]	July 12–13, 2024	617 (RV)	± 3.9%	45%	41%	14%
		544 (LV)		46%	42%	12%
New York Times/Siena College[480]	July 9–12, 2024	661 (RV)	± 4.2%	48%	44%	8%
		661 (LV)	± 4.4%	49%	44%	7%
SoCal Strategies (R)[481][S]	July 6–11, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 2.1%	47%	47%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Virginia Commonwealth University[482]	September 16–25, 2024	832 (A)	± 4.6%	43%	37%	3%	1%	–	16%[dv]
		762 (RV)		47%	37%	2%	1%	–	13%[dw]
Washington Post/Schar School[474]	September 4–8, 2024	1,005 (RV)	± 3.5%	49%	42%	0%	1%	1%	7%[dx]
		1,005 (LV)		50%	42%	0%	1%	1%	6%[dx]
Virginia Commonwealth University[483]	August 26 – September 6, 2024	809 (A)	± 5.0%	46%	36%	2%	1%	–	15%[dy]
		749 (RV)		49%	36%	1%	1%	–	13%[dz]

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Elway Research[484][BS]	September 3–6, 2024	403 (RV)	± 5.0%	53%	32%	11%
DHM Research[485]	July 12–17, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	45%	40%	14%[ea]
SurveyUSA[486][BT]	July 10–13, 2024	708 (LV)	± 5.0%	51%	36%	13%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Donald Trump Republican	Kamala Harris Democratic	Other / Undecided
Research America[487][BU]	August 21–27, 2024	400 (RV)	± 4.9%	61%	34%	5%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Undecided [eb]	Margin
270ToWin	September 26 – October 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	49.3%	48.0%	2.7%	Harris +1.3%
RacetotheWH	through September 29, 2024	October 2, 2024	49.8%	47.6%	2.7%	Harris +2.2%
The Hill/DDHQ	through September 30, 2024	October 1, 2024	49.4%	48.1%	2.5%	Harris +1.3%
Silver Bulletin	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	49.4%	47.3%	3.3%	Harris +2.1%
538	through September 30, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.5%	46.8%	4.7%	Harris +1.7%
Average			49.3%	47.6%	3.1%	Harris +1.7%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Other / Undecided
Trafalgar Group (R)[488]	September 28–30, 2024	1,079 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	47%	7%[cv]
ActiVote[489]	August 29 – September 29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	52%	48%	–
New York Times/Siena College[140]	September 21–26, 2024	680 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
		680 (LV)		49%	47%	4%
Marquette University Law School[490]	September 18–26, 2024	882 (RV)	± 4.4%	50%	45%	5%
		882 (RV)		52%[g]	48%	–
		798 (LV)		50%	45%	5%
		798 (LV)		52%[g]	48%	–
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	1,077 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[20]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	49%	47%	4%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	849 (RV)	± 3.0%	50%	48%	2%
		785 (LV)		51%	48%	1%
RMG Research[491][N]	September 17–23, 2024	788 (LV)	± 3.5%	50%	49%	1%[f]
Rasmussen Reports (R)[492][D]	September 19−22, 2024	1,071 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	49%	1%
Emerson College[493]	September 15–18, 2024	1,000 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	49%	3%[f]
				49%[g]	50%	1%[f]
MassINC Polling Group[410][BV]	September 12−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.8%	53%	46%	1%
Morning Consult[27]	September 9−18, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	50%	44%	6%
Marist College[494]	September 12−17, 2024	1,312 (RV)	± 3.5%	50%	47%	3%[ec]
		1,194 (LV)	± 3.6%	50%	49%	1%[ed]
Quinnipiac University[144]	September 12–16, 2024	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	49%	48%	3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[495][R]	September 11–14, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	48%	3%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[496]	September 11–12, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	49%	47%	4%[ee]
Morning Consult[27]	August 30 – September 8, 2024	638 (LV)	± 4.0%	49%	46%	5%
co/efficient (R)[497]	September 4–6, 2024	917 (LV)	± 3.2%	47%	47%	6%
CBS News/YouGov[498]	September 3–6, 2024	946 (LV)	± 4.0%	51%	49%	–
Marquette University Law School[499]	August 28 – September 5, 2024	822 (RV)	± 4.6%	49%	45%	6%
		822 (RV)	± 4.6%	52%[g]	48%	–
		738 (LV)	± 4.7%	49%	44%	7%
		738 (LV)	± 4.7%	52%[g]	48%	–
Patriot Polling[500]	September 1–3, 2024	826 (RV)	–	48%	48%	4%
Trafalgar Group (R)[501]	August 28–30, 2024	1,083 (LV)	± 2.9%	46%	47%	7%[cv]
Emerson College[502]	August 25–28, 2024	850 (LV)	± 3.3%	48%	49%	3%
				49%[g]	50%	1%[f]
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34]	August 23–26, 2024	648 (LV)	± 4.0%	53%	44%	3%
		701 (RV)		52%	44%	4%
	August 23, 2024	Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
YouGov[155][AB]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.3%	48%	42%	10%[ef]
		– (LV)	± 5.9%	51%	46%	3%
	August 19–22, 2024	Democratic National Convention
BK Strategies[503][BW]	August 19–21, 2024	600 (LV)	–	48%	45%	7%
Fabrizio Ward (R)[157][ao]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	49%	45%	6%
Spry Strategies (R)[36][G]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	7%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[158][H]	August 13–19, 2024	1,099 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	5%
Focaldata[102]	August 6–16, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	52%	48%	–
Quantus Polls and News[504][BX]	August 14–15, 2024	601 (RV)	± 4.0%	46%	45%	9%
TIPP Insights[505][BN]	August 12–14, 2024	1,015 (RV)	± 3.4%	47%	46%	7%
		976 (LV)		47%	47%	6%
The Bullfinch Group[159][P]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	51%	42%	7%
InsiderAdvantage (R)[506]	August 6–8, 2024	800 (LV)	–	48%	49%	3%
Navigator Research (D)[43]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	48%	4%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[44]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	404 (LV)	–	49%	46%	5%
New York Times/Siena College[162]	August 5–8, 2024	661 (RV)	± 4.3%	50%	46%	4%
		661 (LV)		50%	46%	3%
	August 6, 2024	Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
RMG Research [507][N]	July 31 – August 5, 2024	800 (RV)	± 3.5%	48%	45%	7%
Marquette University Law School[508]	July 24 – August 1, 2024	877 (RV)	± 4.6%	47%	44%	9%
		877 (RV)	± 4.6%	49%[g]	50%	1%
		801 (LV)	± 4.8%	49%	45%	6%
		801 (LV)	± 4.8%	50%[g]	49%	1%
Public Opinion Strategies (R)[509][J]	July 23–29, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	48%	46%	6%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[510]	July 24–28, 2024	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	49%	47%	4%
Fox News[511]	July 22–24, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	50%	1%
Emerson College[109]	July 22–23, 2024	845 (RV)	± 3.3%	47%	47%	6%
				51%[g]	49%	–
	July 21, 2024	Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
	July 15–19, 2024	Republican National Convention
	July 13, 2024	Attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Public Policy Polling (D)[512][I]	July 10–11, 2024	548 (RV)	–	48%	49%	3%
North Star Opinion Research (R)[513][BN]	July 6–10, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	47%	48%	5%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[114]	May 7–13, 2024	693 (RV)	± 4.0%	41%	49%	10%
Emerson College[514]	February 20–24, 2024	1,000 (RV)	± 3.0%	44%	47%	9%
New York Times/Siena College[515]	October 22 – November 3, 2023	603 (RV)	± 4.8%	46%	47%	7%
		603 (LV)		46%	48%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
New York Times/Siena College[140]	September 21–26, 2024	680 (RV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	–	1%	2%	4%
		680 (LV)		48%	46%	–	1%	2%	3%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[21]	September 19–25, 2024	849 (RV)	± 3.0%	49%	47%	–	1%	2%	1%
		785 (LV)		50%	47%	–	0%	1%	2%
Remington Research Group (R)[516][AD]	September 16–20, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.5%	48%	48%	1%	0%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[517]	September 16–19, 2024	600 (LV)	–	47%	47%	–	0%	0%	6%
Quinnipiac University[144]	September 12–16, 2024	1,075 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	47%	0%	1%	1%	3%[eg]
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[518]	September 6–9, 2024	626 (LV)	–	49%	46%	–	0%	1%	4%
YouGov[519][K]	August 23 – September 3, 2024	900 (RV)	± 4.1%	47%	44%	1%	1%	–	7%[eh]
CNN/SSRS[520]	August 23–29, 2024	976 (LV)	± 4.4%	50%	44%	0%	2%	2%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[521]	August 25–28, 2024	672 (LV)	–	48%	44%	–	0%	0%	8%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[34]	August 23–26, 2024	648 (LV)	± 4.0%	52%	44%	–	1%	1%	2%
		701 (RV)		51%	44%	–	1%	1%	3%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert F. Kennedy Jr.[ei] Independent	Jill Stein Green	Cornel West Independent	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Others/ Undecided [m]	Margin
Race to the WH	through September 26, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.6%	45.9%	1.5%	1.1%	0.2%	1.1%	1.6%	Harris +2.7%
RealClearPolitics	September 11 – 26, 2024	September 26, 2024	48.3%	46.4%	1.4%	0.9%	0.2%	1.2%	1.6%	Harris +1.9%
270toWin	September 26 – October 2, 2024	October 2, 2024	48.6%	46.6%	1.7%	0.6%	0.3%	1.3%	0.9%	Harris +2.0%
Average			48.5%	46.3%	1.5%	0.9%	0.2%	1.2%	1.4%	Harris +2.2%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Cornel West Independent	Jill Stein Green	Chase Oliver Libertarian	Other / Undecided
Marquette University Law School[490]	September 18–26, 2024	882 (RV)	± 4.4%	48%	44%	3%	0%	1%	1%	3%[ej]
		798 (LV)		49%	44%	3%	0%	1%	1%	2%[ej]
AtlasIntel[19]	September 20–25, 2024	1,077 (LV)	± 3.0%	48%	50%	0%	0%	1%	1%	–
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[20]	September 19–25, 2024	411 (LV)	–	48%	46%	0%	1%	2%	–	3%
MassINC Polling Group[410][BV]	September 12−18, 2024	800 (LV)	± 3.8%	51%	45%	1%	0%	1%	0%	2%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[495][R]	September 11–14, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	48%	45%	2%	0%	1%	0%	4%[ap]
Marquette University Law School[499]	August 28 – September 5, 2024	822 (RV)	± 4.6%	47%	43%	6%	1%	1%	1%	1%
		738 (LV)	± 4.7%	48%	43%	6%	1%	1%	1%	1%[ek]
Z to A Research (D)[522][AE]	August 23–26, 2024	518 (LV)	–	47%	47%	2%	–	0%	1%	3%
YouGov[155][AB]	August 15–23, 2024	500 (A)	± 5.3%	45%	40%	4%	1%	1%	0%	9%[el]
		– (LV)	± 5.9%	49%	45%	1%	1%	0%	0%	4%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[158][H]	August 13–19, 2024	1,099 (LV)	± 3.0%	46%	46%	4%	1%	1%	0%	2%
Focaldata[102]	August 6–16, 2024	700 (LV)	± 3.7%	50%	44%	4%	–	1%	0%	1%
		700 (RV)		50%	42%	5%	–	1%	0%	2%
		700 (A)		50%	43%	5%	–	1%	0%	1%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[523]	August 12–15, 2024	469 (LV)	–	48%	44%	3%	–	0%	0%	5%
The Bullfinch Group[159][P]	August 8–11, 2024	500 (RV)	± 4.4%	49%	40%	3%	1%	1%	–	6%
New York Times/Siena College[162]	August 5–8, 2024	661 (RV)	± 4.3%	49%	42%	6%	0%	1%	1%	2%
		661 (LV)		49%	43%	5%	0%	1%	1%	2%
Navigator Research (D)[43]	July 31 – August 8, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	45%	45%	5%	1%	1%	1%	2%
Cook Political Report/BSG (R)/GS Strategy Group (D)[44]	July 26 – August 8, 2024	404 (LV)	–	48%	43%	5%	1%	0%	–	3%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[524]	July 31 – August 3, 2024	597 (LV)	–	43%	43%	3%	–	0%	0%	11%
Marquette University Law School[508]	July 24 – August 1, 2024	877 (RV)	± 4.6%	45%	43%	8%	0%	1%	1%	2%
		801 (LV)	± 4.8%	46%	45%	6%	0%	1%	1%	1%
Bloomberg/Morning Consult[510]	July 24–28, 2024	700 (RV)	± 4.0%	44%	45%	6%	–	0%	3%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies[525]	July 22–24, 2024	523 (LV)	–	44%	44%	5%	–	1%	1%	5%
Fox News[511]	July 22–24, 2024	1,046 (RV)	± 3.0%	46%	46%	5%	1%	1%	–	1%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Jill Stein

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Jill Stein Green	Other / Undecided
Spry Strategies (R)[36][G]	August 14–20, 2024	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	46%	42%	3%	2%	7%
Emerson College[109]	July 22–23, 2024	845 (RV)	± 3.3%	45%	45%	3%	1%	6%

Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size[c]	Margin of error	Kamala Harris Democratic	Donald Trump Republican	Robert Kennedy Jr Independent	Other / Undecided
Fabrizio Ward (R)[157][ao]	August 19–21, 2024	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	47%	42%	4%	7%
Civiqs[526][AE]	July 13–16, 2024	514 (RV)	± 4.8%	48%	48%	2%	2%

• Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 United States elections
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